From: RWHofrich@a...
Date: Thu, 2 Dec 1999 09:59:19 EST
Subject: Re DS/SG Future of Warfare
Okay, here I go being the village crank, but I'm going to have to postulate a different future (sort of)... 1. Most low-intensity fights NOT during major conflicts or incidents (ie--those instigated by local governors or settlers over a short period of time) would be basically light infantry type conflicts. Basically, this would be for spur-of-the-moment kind of stuff. Anything with any planning or build-up time involved may bypass this level. 2. Some minor skirmishes and most attacks during major incidents (not all-out war, but local stuff supported from outside) could be a mix of LI/militia and armor-heavy forces. The reason? In the GZGverse, power is plentiful (and cheap) and anti-grav technology is available. That means that moving mass to orbit is relatively inexpensive (note the use of the term "relatively"). Furthermore, if we assume that troop pay is consistent with current Western levels, we find that salaries are a major part of the military budget. Now, if we assume that a lot of equipment can be designed either as modular designs or self-repairing smart systems, then the personnel drain for maintenance operations can be reasonably low. This leads to the very un-historical point that it may be cheaper to ship lots of heavy equipment and just a few troops, than loads of troops and just a little equipment, once salaries are taken into account. Think of a system like a modified version of Maritime Prepositioned Equipment, though for different reasons than currently used by the US. Also note that this approach could vary between nations--the ESU could be mostly LI for expeditionary forces (assuming cheap wages) while the NAC could be more heavily weighted toward mechanized and PA forces (due to the need for transporting the most firepower for the least manpower). 3. All-out war--anything goes--heavies for major assaults or defending key locations while LI/militia handle "routine" planetary duties or support the heavies. Please also understand that I'm not saying this is the only way to go. I'm just suggesting that we need to not look at things just from the currently popular perspective. Also, I am a former Marine so while LI is my preferred approach--not those big heavy targets people seem to like driving around--but we need to look at our assumptions when pointing out how we think the future will go. Anyhow, that's my 2 pennies worth. Rob