Population Models I'd like to See

Hi Beth:

I'm gonna register my requests:)

I'd like to see some near and far end projections for population (Now, not the
"we blow ourselves completely up" version, mind!). Something that takes into
account a UN forecast crash scenario, fairly extensive mortality from plagues,
etc, only a poor or moderate accessibility (cost), and maybe including (though
not explicitly) attempts to limit emmigration from some nations. And high
numbers of war dead from the various conflicts along with moderate growth
rates.

Then, on the other hand, I'd love to see high growth rate
projections, assuming ease/cheap cost of going to space, no
population crashback, small losses to war, a big desire to spread out and
emmigrate to new frontiers, and such.

This would give the GZG community both ends of a population spectra to look
at, which would help people feel more comfortable with your
middle-of-the-road (or cautiously optimistic) estimates.

As for the UN, given your median model (I'm calling that the one that
we think of as having useful but reasonable assumptions, not border-
of-possible ones), I'd like to see a projection of it assuming it is
well run, well funded, has relatively free emmigration from the various states
and encourages emmigration from the
overpopulated/poorer countries to help bump up its population base,
etc.

And another projection that features the UN as an incompetent place, poorly
funded, being fought tooth and nail by the major powers, etc.

That'd give us both boundaries on the UN's scale/capability.

Now, what I've suggested here is basically 4 projections (high and low pop
points, and two for the UN from the median pop model). But it ain't me doing
the work, so you can tell me to sod off....:)

Beth, in conjection with this you'd asked about ease of terraforming. In order
for people to have settled so many different planets, tform must be
fast/cheap/easy.

Or it's difficult and expensive and takes a long time; the Kra'Vak already
made the investment; and that's why they're so irritated at us moving in
before they got back.

G'day,

> Now, what I've suggested here is basically 4 projections (high and

I'll see what I can do;)

Cheers

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