From: Laserlight <laserlight@q...>
Date: Thu, 04 Mar 1999 21:28:03 -0500
Subject: [FH] GNP and defense budget
According to Jim Dunnigan's _How to Make War_ 1988 edition, the US GNP is (or was at that time) $6 trillion dollars, with an overall defense budget of approximately 7% GNP, with a world average = 5%, USSR high at 14% (obviously not a long-term good idea). Dividing 6 trillion by a population of approximately 250 million, we come up with a per capita GNP of $24,000. An average 5% to defense means $1200 per person. Multiply by, say, an Alarishi population of 15 million, and you get a defense budget of $18 billion (somewhat more becuase the Alarishi spend a bit higher than average on defense). Page 509 of the same book says that aircraft cost $1000/pound, armored vehicles $20/pd and ships $60/pd. Over a lifetime of 10-20 years, they cost 2-4 times their acquisition cost, which works out to 20% of purchase cost per year. (Also says a modern task force, 9 ships (one a CVA), 90 aircraft, 9000 men, costs $11 billion.) $18 billion divided by $120,000 / ton = 150,000 tons, which is the most we can purchase per year (with zero maintenance, 100% of the defense budget spent on new construction). We could in theory maintain 750,000 tons, if we put everything into maintenance instead of construction. And ignored the army and fixed defenses, R&D, logistics, etc. Which is the sort of thing you hope your enemies do.